Skip to main content

Rate Related Update and Market Conditions

📌 Current U.S. Tariff Status (as of August 8, 2025)

  • Modified Country‑Specific Reciprocal Tariffs Take Effect:
    Effective August 7, 2025, reciprocal tariffs ranging from 10 % to 41 % were imposed on imports from over 60 U.S. trading partners under the Executive Order issued July  3. For other countries not specifically listed, a 10 % baseline rateapplies . Goods determined to be transshipped to evade duties will incur a 40 % tariff .

  • Additional 25 % Tariff on Indian Imports (Total 50 %):
    On August 6, 2025, the President announced an additional 25 % tariff on Indian goods, citing India’s continued import of Russian-origin oil. This raises total duties on some Indian exports to 50 % and takes effect 21 days after August 7.

  • Economic & Diplomatic Fallout (India):
    Moody’s warns that the 50 % tariff could undercut India’s manufacturing ambitions and slow GDP growth by approximately 0.3 percentage points for the fiscal year ending March 2026 . India’s officials have condemned the move, calling it “extremely unfortunate,” while U.S.–India relations reach a low point . Further compounding tensions, President Trump has stated that no further trade talks will proceed until the tariff is resolved .

Source: whitehouse.gov, politico.com, whitehouse.gov

Rate Related Update and Market Conditions

Market Conditions

TPEB (Trans-Pacific Eastbound)

  • Demand remains flat in August, with Southeast Asia outpacing China in loadings. Rates have stabilized, and the PSS has been fully removed due to weak demand.

FEWB (Far East Westbound)

  • Volume is softening as peak season winds down. Spot rates have dipped slightly but remain elevated, supported by high vessel utilization.

TAWB (Trans-Atlantic Westbound)

  • Rates are steady across North Europe and West Med, with most PSSs deferred. GRIs are emerging for East Med lanes in early September.

Operational Updates

TPEB:

  • China ports face delays from Tropical Storm Co-may, with ripple effects in Busan. Equipment remains tight for some carriers despite slight improvement.

FEWB:

  • Typhoons continue to delay vessels at Far East ports, though inland congestion is limited. Delays are helping carriers maintain high load factors.

TAWB:

  • Antwerp remains heavily congested with over 9-day dwell times. Inland disruptions and chassis shortages persist across Central and Eastern Europe.

Capacity Management

TPEB:

  • Space remains widely available, even with capacity down to 70–80%. Carriers may adjust schedules with little notice.

FEWB:

  • Weekly capacity stays strong, with extra loaders added mid-month. Late August blank sailings remain unclear.

TAWB:

  • Capacity is stable, with blank sailings at 5–6%. Some service rotations are being adjusted to avoid congested ports.

Sources: xeneta.com, maersk.com, yangming.com, evergreen-line.com, supplychaindive.com

US Retailers Expect Decline in Imports to End 2025

According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, U.S. import volumes are expected to see sharp year-over-year declines from September through December 2025. The downturn follows earlier frontloading at the end of 2024 and a peak-season surge in early 2025 driven by tariff deadlines. The NRF forecasts total 2025 imports at 24.1 million TEUs, a 5.6% drop from the 25.5 million TEUs recorded last year.

Air Cargo Carriers Adjust Capacity Post-Tariff Frontloading

Air cargo carriers are facing a realignment in capacity following a surge in July shipments tied to pre-tariff stockpiling. As demand normalizes, freighter airlines—especially in key Asian hubs like Hong Kong—are working to right-size networks across trade corridors. According to C.H. Robinson, the market is undergoing broad capacity adjustments as carriers respond to the rapid shifts in volume following the tariff-driven import acceleration.

Container Spot Rates Stay Flat as Peak Season Slips

Spot freight rates on major east‑west trades were largely unchanged this week, reflecting a peak season that has yet to emerge. Analysts report falling rates on Asia–Europe and trans‑Pacific routes, with prices nearing pre‑Red Sea crisis levels. While shippers may see some benefit from softer rates, carriers face ongoing overcapacity and continued financial strain as they struggle to balance supply with muted demand.